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Created: 20/10/2023 - 11:20
Last updated: 20/10/2023 - 04:22

In the realm of NFL betting, "Over/Under" bets, also known as "totals," provide an exciting alternative to traditional point spread wagers. These bets revolve around predicting the combined final score of both teams in a football game.

In this comprehensive guide, we'll delve into the intricacies of NFL Over/Under betting, including what it is, real-life examples of when it's a wise choice, prop bets, quarter and half betting, and frequently asked questions.

NFL Over/Under betting, commonly referred to as total betting, is a straightforward and popular wagering option. (Source: Freepik)

What Is NFL Over/Under Betting?

NFL Over/Under betting, commonly referred to as total betting, is a straightforward and popular wagering option. The primary goal is to predict whether the final combined score of a game will be over or under a specific number set by oddsmakers, known as the "total" or "point total."

How It Works

Oddsmakers set a total for a particular NFL game, representing the expected combined score of both teams.

Bettors can choose to wager on either the "Over" if they believe the total points scored will exceed the set number or the "Under" if they expect the total points to fall below it.

NFL Over/Under Betting Example

Let's illustrate NFL Over/Under betting with a real-life example:

Game: New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Total: 48.5 points

  • If you bet the "Over" and the final score is New England 27 - Kansas City 24, the total points (27 + 24) equal 51. Since this surpasses the set total of 48.5, you win your bet.
  • If you bet the "Under," and the final score is New England 20 - Kansas City 17, the total points (20 + 17) equal 37, which is below the set total of 48.5. In this case, you also win your bet.

When Is NFL Over/Under Betting a Good Idea?

Betting on NFL over/under games can be a wise strategy under certain circumstances. Here are a few scenarios when it might be a good idea:

High-Scoring Teams

When two teams known for their offensive prowess face-off, it's more likely that the total points will exceed the set line. 

Example:

In a game between these two high-scoring teams, oddsmakers set the total at 56.5 points. The final score is Kansas City 35 - Tampa Bay 28, totaling 63 points. If you bet the "Over," you win.

Injury Considerations

Injuries to key defensive players can weaken a team's defense, making it more likely for both teams to score higher. Always check injury reports before placing your bets.

Example: If a star defensive player is sidelined, it may increase the chances of the game going "Over" the set total.

Weather Conditions

Extreme weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, can make it challenging for teams to score points. In such cases, betting the "Under" might be a prudent choice.

Remember, thorough research and analysis of team statistics, recent performance, and situational factors can help you make informed Over/Under bets.

Can You Bet Over/Under in Props?

Yes, Over/Under betting extends beyond just the total points scored in a game. It's also commonly used in prop bets, where you wager on specific player or team performances. Prop bets might include Over/Unders on a player's rushing yards, passing touchdowns, or even the number of field goals in a game.

Over/Under betting extends beyond just the total points scored in a game. (Source: Freepik)

Example:

Prop Bet: Tom Brady Passing Yards

Over/Under: 289.5 yards

  • If you bet the "Over" and Tom Brady passes for 300 yards, you win your bet.
  • If you bet the "Under," and Brady finishes with 280 passing yards, you win your bet.

Can You Bet Over Unders per Quarter or by Half?

Yes, you can bet Over/Unders for individual quarters or halves of an NFL game. The process is similar to betting on the overall game total, but you're focusing on a specific time frame. For example, you can bet on the total points scored in the first half or the third quarter.

Quarter-and-half betting can be appealing if you have insights into a team's tendencies in specific game periods.

FAQs

Q1: What is the key difference between Over/Under betting and point spread betting in football?

While NFL Over/Under betting focuses on the total points scored in a game, point spread betting involves wagering on the margin of victory or defeat for a team. Point spread bets aim to level the playing field between two teams, while Under bets disregard the outcome and focus solely on the total points.

Q2: How do oddsmakers determine the total points for an NFL game?

Oddsmakers consider various factors, including team performance, offensive and defensive statistics, player injuries, weather conditions, and historical data. They aim to set a line that attracts equal betting action on both the "Over" and "Under."

Q3: What happens if the total points in a game match the set total?

If the total points scored in a game exactly match the set total (e.g., a total of 48 in a game with a total set at 48), it's called a "push." In this case, all bets are refunded, and no one wins or loses.

Q4: Can I place live bets on Over Unders during an NFL game?

Yes, many sportsbooks offer live betting options, including live Over/Under bets, during NFL games. This allows you to adjust your wagers based on the game's progress.

Q5: Are Over Under bets only available for regular-season NFL games?

Over/Under bets are available for various NFL games, including regular-season games, playoffs, and even the Super Bowl. They are a popular betting option throughout the NFL season.

NFL Over/Under betting offers a versatile and engaging way to wager on games, providing opportunities beyond traditional point-spread bets. By understanding the nuances, doing thorough research, and considering various factors, you can make informed Over/Under bets that add excitement to your NFL viewing experience.

Published: 20 October 2023 11:20
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